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FAMINE REFERS TO AN extreme and protracted shortage of food, which results in widespread and persistent hunger, emaciation of the affected population, and a substantial increase in the death rates, according to the Encyclopedia Britannica. The key defining factor therefore relates to the problem of food scarcity. Thus to understand what constitutes a famine, to analyze its consequences, and to find ways in which its devastation can be minimized, or eliminated altogether, requires the researcher to probe into the question of food scarcity and all that bears upon this issue.

At the simplest level, food scarcity may be seen as the result of an imbalance between the forces of demand and supply within the market for food. Famine, seen as an imbalance between such forces, appears to have a straightforward solution: correct the imbal-ance—through policy interventions—and the problem is resolved. Unfortunately this simplistic approach does not always work, as the sources of most experiences of famine are only partly economic and substantially political.

Another approach by A.K. Ghose views famine not so much as shortages of food but in terms of a decline in food availability affecting a particular group or groups. This fine distinction makes sense only under some special conditions as the following quotation illustrates:

In a society with a given pattern of distribution of food among the population, a certain level of food supply is required to ensure that even the most disadvantaged sections do not starve. If the food supply falls below this level, the poorest must starve unless the decline in the food supply itself leads to a reduction in the inequality of food distribution. Since it can be plausibly argued that a decline in food supply typically leads to a worsening of food distribution, reductions in food supply can clearly cause famine.But, firstly, it still can not be argued that famines are necessarily caused by reductions in food supply. Secondly, since changes in food distribution in consequence of reductions in food supply are of crucial importance in determining the overall effects, reductions in food supply in themselves do not have much predictive power. A 10 percent decline in food supply may lead to a major famine in one situation but to only a minor squeeze on some people's food consumption in another.

For Ghose the relevant distinction is between levels of food availability across a given population.

Less enlightened interpretations of the causes of famine attribute its principal origins to climatic and environmental changes. These arguments regard drought, unusually heavy rains—leading to flooding—and crop disease as the key forces behind food scarcity.

Agricultural Production

Ideas such as these are generally based on either the Malthusian principle of man's inability to feed ever-growing populations or the use of inappropriate policies with unwelcome side effects such as those prompted by ecological dysfunction. The work of Professor Paul Ehrlich is well-known for covering both the Malthusian and the ecological disaster strands of thinking on this topic. His early 1970s contribution, The Population Bomb, is well-known for arguing against aid disbursements to countries such as China and India on the grounds that such assistance will only prolong the suffering of those in need.

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