Skip to main content icon/video/no-internet

The burst of the housing bubble in the United States, which led to a global “credit crunch” beginning in 2007, followed a pattern of financial market crises and institutional meltdowns that has grown at an increasingly rapid rate during the past few hundred years. Every financial mania throughout history—from the Dutch tulip craze of the 1630s and the South Sea Bubble beginning in the 1710s to the Asian crisis of the 1990s and the dot-com crash of the early 2000s—has shown that most people subscribe to the belief that economic growth will go on forever, even though the record tells us otherwise. History also shows that people seem to be caught by surprise as boom turns to bust, as the euphoria over supposedly limitless growth and prosperity turns to gloom over swiftly deteriorating asset values and institutions.

Crisis and meltdown in the financial sector is not a singular event. Rather, crisis and meltdown are the culmination of a sequence of events, each of which was readily apparent though it went by largely unnoticed. This is generally because the long-term impact of each event was not perceived in its present time and place, thus why a crisis and meltdown appears to develop without warning. As such, financial crises and meltdowns are commonly experienced as traumatic events, especially by investors, financiers and financial professionals, and regulators who are directly affected.

Booms and busts have been occurring with increasing frequency, intensity, and range. So, for all of the knowledge and awareness that has been accumulated about them over time, why do people time and again fail to consider the markers of impending financial crisis? Why do so many propound that “history repeats itself” and “what goes up must come down,” yet neglect to consider these old adages ahead of turbulent times? And why do financial crises and meltdowns lead individuals and societies take to desperate, irrational measures?

Crises and Meltdowns as Psychological Events

Financial crises and meltdowns are usually treated as economic and political events. They are discussed in terms of falling stock prices, currency devaluation, asset depreciation, institutional collapse, regulatory and legislative reform, and so on. But financial crises and the meltdowns of financial markets and institutions are ultimately social and psychological phenomena—that is, they are symptomatic of stresses, trends, and transformations in society. Specifically, they express changes in people's thoughts, feelings, and behaviors about traditional order.

The heights of material comfort that have been experienced in capitalist societies during the past few hundred years have reinforced the timeless search for some formula, some secret, some mechanism that will allow people to acquire increasing sums of money. Driven by the profit motive as the means to realizing a free and equal society, the idea that individual economic activity must therefore be promoted without restriction is expressed in the belief that wealth can be—and has been—created, on one hand, by “honest work” and, on the other hand, with little or no effort. It is through such beliefs that financial crises and meltdowns eventually materialize.

The conventional understanding of financial crises is that they are a reaction to excessive speculation spurred by an overexpansion of credit, in keeping with Karl Marx's writings about capitalism as an exploitative economic system. But the 19th-century French economist Clément Juglar provided the earliest adequate explanation of modern business cycle theory. Juglar's analyses of crises in France, Britain, and the United States showed that a period of prosperity, with its prices ever rising beyond typical levels, is regularly followed by crisis and then liquidation of assets. An eventual recovery begins after a period of stagnation has created the conditions for low prices and reduced interest rates. Not too long thereafter, the cycle begins again, as the economy enters a new phase of prosperity enabled by easy access to credit and fueled by fresh, unrestrained speculation.

...

  • Loading...
locked icon

Sign in to access this content

Get a 30 day FREE TRIAL

  • Watch videos from a variety of sources bringing classroom topics to life
  • Read modern, diverse business cases
  • Explore hundreds of books and reference titles

Sage Recommends

We found other relevant content for you on other Sage platforms.

Loading