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Exponential Random Graph Models

Relationships are central to peoples’ health and well-being—humans are hardwired to be social. Through relationships, people gain access to resources, which can take the form of support, information, ideas, or advice, among others. Moreover, relationships benefit not just the individual but also the entire group of people involved (the social network). Social network approaches give researchers an avenue to explore relationships and how resources exchanged through these relationships impact individuals and groups. This entry describes one method for exploring tie formation in networks: exponential random graph models (ERGMs). ERMGs are a family of statistical models that allow researchers to examine patterns of relationships in social networks and to explore how social processes and personal attributes of actors are related to the presence or absence of ties in the network. More succinctly, ERGMs are models for understanding the formation of social network ties.

Social networks consist of actors or nodes (e.g., people, organizations, countries) who are connected to actors via ties or relationships. Social networks can be undirected or directed. In an undirected network, a tie indicates the presence of a relationship. For example, a network of teachers in a school who work in committees is an undirected network—a tie between actors would indicate that they work in the same committee. In directed networks, ties indicate the direction of the flow of resources from one person to another. For example, a network where teachers in a school indicate which colleagues they seek for advice would be an example of a directed network. A sent tie (i.e., an actor seeking advice) is known as an outdegree; a received tie (i.e., an actor being sought for advice) is known as an indegree. The type of network—directed or undirected—has implication for modeling the formation of ties in that network. Social network approaches allow researchers to understand not only the outcomes derived from networks but also the antecedent social processes that foster tie formation in networks and how to interpret them.

Why Use ERGMs?

Traditional quantitative analyses in the social sciences assume that individuals and variables associated with those individuals are independent of each other. Social networks violate that assumption because tie formation between two actors (a dyad) in networks is dependent on social processes in that network. ERGMs address this issue of dependence by allowing researchers to include different social processes in their models. For example, theory of social networks indicates that ties tend to be reciprocated. If Fred confides in (sends a tie to) Barney, it increases the likelihood that Barney will reciprocate and confide in (send a tie to) Fred. This tendency toward reciprocity can be included in the model. The advantage of ERGMs versus other methods is that researchers can condition models on network structures (like reciprocity) and personal attributes.

How Do ERGMs Work?

ERGMs can be thought of as a quantitative case study of one network. The observed network is one possible configuration of a set of possible networks with its characteristics. ERGMs generate all the other possible ways a network with the given characteristics can be configured to create a distribution of networks and then compare the observed network to that distribution. ERGM results are akin to logistic regression results—the outcome in ERGMs is the presence or absence of a tie—and is often presented as conditional log-odds and/or odds ratios. A positive and significant coefficient indicates the likelihood of tie formation for a given effect is greater than would be expected by chance.

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