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Possible terrorist attacks on the agricultures of the world's advanced economies receive less attention than the possibility of attacks that kill immediately. Damaged crops and sickened herds will never get as much attention or instill as much fear as an attack on a major population center. Yet the agricultural sector of advanced economies is very vulnerable. Attacks could cause severe food shortages and would certainly result in severe trade and economic disruption. While there is no evidence that the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Great Britain was the result of terrorist activity, the economic and psychological impact of the epidemic raised the specter of terrorist attacks against agricultural economies and raised fears that the food supplies of nations might be vulnerable.

There have been at least a few historical examples of military attacks against crops and animals. Both the former Soviet Union and the United States once conducted research and development on pathogens for use against crops and animals, for example. Few doubt that determined terrorists could obtain small quantities of plant and animal pathogens. What is less certain is whether terrorists could succeed in spreading the pathogens widely enough to infect large crop areas or large numbers of animals. An outbreak of an animal disease such as FMD, or a crop blight such as wheat smut, would elicit an immediate reaction, which would include both treatment and quarantine. Environmental factors, such as the natural resistance of plants to disease and weather conditions at the time of the initial attack, might limit the effectiveness of even a well-planned attack. On the other hand, diseases such as FMD are highly infectious, and even a small attack could demoralize a population and lead to disruptions in complex economies.

Tools of the Agroterrorist

Terrorists have, or could develop, the capability of using biological agents to attack crops and livestock. Such agents include viruses such as the highly contagious foot-and-mouth disease and rinderpest, which kill or weaken cattle, sheep, pigs, and other livestock. Anti-plant agents include fungi such as rice blast and stem rust, which attack rice, wheat, and other important crops. Many of these diseases are endemic in various parts of the world, particularly in countries without well-developed procedures to monitor crop and animal health.

Early detection is necessary to cull infected animals and destroy infected crops to keep diseases from spreading. Many of the diseases that terrorists are most likely to use occur naturally, and a terrorist team could travel to the scene of an outbreak to obtain infectious material from a sick animal or crop. At the attack site, the pathogen could be administered clandestinely, so that any resulting sickness would appear to be the result of natural causes. One expert has indicated how easy this would be: “If I wanted to spread foot-and-mouth disease, I would just get a saliva smear from a sick cow and then rub it on the noses of some healthy cows in the country I wanted to attack.”

The development of biological agents explicitly for use against animals and crops has a long history. Germany used anthrax and glanders against pack and food animals during World War I. Germany and Japan conducted active research during World War II to develop anti-crop and anti-animal weapons. They rarely used them, however, probably because they feared retaliation in kind from the United States and its allies, which were engaged in similar research. Some nations may have refrained from using biological agents only because they feared the prospect of having the diseases spread to their own homelands.

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