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Dangerous/Violence Potential Behaviour

Introduction

The past decade has witnessed a growing interest in the clinical assessment of dangerousness and violence risk (Monahan & Steadman, 1994; Quinsey, Harris, Rice & Cormier, 1998). Successful prediction of often covert, low-frequency events can be particularly difficult to demonstrate. Within groups of mentally ill, criminal offenders, and/or mentally ill criminal offenders, major predictors of violent recidivism are largely the same, with criminal history variables most predictive of future violence relative to clinical variables associated with diagnosis of mental illness (Bonta, Law & Hanson, 1998).

Several assessment protocols have been advanced, including those adapted for specialized types of violence, such as sexual offending. Reliable and valid procedures such as the Psychopathy Checklist – Revised (PCL-R, Hare, 1991), Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG, Quinsey et al., 1998), Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide (SORAG, Quinsey et al., 1998), HCR-20 (Webster, Douglas, Eaves & Hart, 1997), and Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offense Recidivism (RRASOR, Hanson, 1997) allow forensic practitioners to anchor their clinical opinions in empirically based nomothetic data while providing an estimate of violence potential over a given period of time.

While historical information forms a starting point for assessing potentially dangerous and violent individuals, idiographic data obtained from individualized personality assessment fills in the ‘missing middle’ (adding clinical and dispositional information to substantiated historical and contextual data) to inform and guide the tasks of understanding and treating dangerous and violent patients (Gacono, 2000; Gacono & Meloy, 1994, 2002).

Violence Prediction

Debate over the superiority of actuarial versus clinical approaches in the prediction of behaviour may hazard the creation of an artificial dichotomy. For example, a patient possessed by the delusion that he must hurt or kill another (to save himself, humankind, the earth) should be considered potentially quite dangerous, regardless of actuarially determined risk. In assessing individuals, actuarial tools are used as guides to inform clinical judgement. 1With this caveat in mind, we turn to the most intensive actuarially oriented project assessing violence risk.

The MacArthur Violence Risk Assessment Study

Monahan and Steadman's (1994) work outlining the beginnings of the MacArthur Violence Risk Assessment Study is sometimes credited with reinvigorating a more collaborative, second generation effort to standardize an actuarial approach in the prediction of violence. Drawing upon a panoply of previously identified but variously operationalized risk variables, Monahan and Steadman adapted a number of standardized tests and variables to operationalize prospective violence risk factors found in four general groupings:

  • Dispositional factors, including anger, impulsiveness, psychopathy, and personality disorders.
  • Clinical or psychopathological factors, including diagnosis of mental disorder, alcohol or substance abuse, and the presence of delusions, hallucinations, or violent fantasies.
  • Historical or case history variables, including previous violence, arrest history, treatment history, history of self-harm, as well as social, work, and family history.
  • Contextual factors, including perceived stress, social support, and means for violence.

Dependent on the referral context and setting, an assessment of potentially violent individuals requires gathering data from each of these four domains.

Assessing Historical, Dispositional, Clinical, and Contextual Factors

Assessing potentially violent individuals begins with a thorough review of documented historical information, whether performed in institutional or community setting. Documentation, often obtained from legal authorities, must be reviewed relating to history of violence (including sexual assault), previous offences, weapon use, and so forth. Contemporary data including mental status markers (acute paranoid ideation, delusions, etc.) can be substantiated from a review of treatment records, staff interviews, and other corroborative sources. Antecedents and consequents surrounding previous violent acts should be noted along with the mode of violence (affective versus predatory). While a history of affective violence in an unmedicated psychotic patient (without concurrent psychopathy or character pathology) will likely respond, first, to neuroleptic intervention and, second, to anger management instruction, the same interventions will not likely impact the psychotic psychopath with a documented history of predatory violence.3 Evaluation of a patient's past violence includes assessment of the cognitive, affective, and behavioural patterns prior to, during, and consequent to violent episodes, as well as any current situational or dynamic factors that could be impacted by immediate intervention.4 In addition to relevant historical, dispositional, clinical, and contextual factors, victim characteristics (age, gender, circumstances) should also be noted.

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