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Developmental Theories
Developmental theories concern changes that occur over the lifespan as a result of maturation and experience. The nature of decision making shifts as children become adolescents and, as more recent research shows, as adolescents become adults and adults age. Two major theories of decision making are discussed that are also theories of development: the prototype/willingness model and fuzzy-trace theory. When discussing decision making in a medical context, it is important to keep in mind the key concepts of risk perception and informed consent (including issues of autonomy). How these theories address each of these issues and their implications for development and rationality are discussed.
In discussing what rationality in decision making is, it important to note two approaches offered as criteria: coherence and correspondence. The coherence criterion for rational decision making is that a decision is rational if the process used is internally consistent. For example, decision makers use a logical rule to combine their assessments of the costs and benefits of each option. Furthermore, the choice made must reflect the decision makers' goals. This coherence criterion is what is traditionally referred to when a process is described as rational. For the coherence criterion, the outcome of the decision is not involved in denoting a decision as rational. The correspondence criterion argues that outcomes do matter. To the extent that the decisions made correspond with good outcomes in reality (e.g., they cause no harm to the decision maker or to others), the decision can be considered rational. Researchers who focus on the health of children and youth often emphasize positive outcomes. However, coherent reasoning is also relevant for issues such as whether young people are capable of giving informed consent for medical treatments.
The two theories discussed here are dual-process theories of decision making. These theories argue that there are two ways in which a decision maker can arrive at a decision. One process is rational (in the traditional sense) and analytic. This process involves the decision maker combining relevant factors using a logically defensible decision rule; behavior resulting from this process is a planned and intentional action. The other process is described as intuitive. This process is quick and does not involve deliberation. Although both theories are similar in that they propose a dual-process distinction, they differ in what is proposed for developing and what is considered rational. Crucially, intuition in prototype/willingness theory is developmentally primitive, whereas intuition in fuzzy-trace theory characterizes advanced thinking.
Prototype/Willingness Model
A standard dual-process theory, the prototype/willingness model has been applied to many health decisions, such as the decision to smoke or drink, and to health-promoting behaviors, such as cancer screening and family planning. The prototype/willingness model argues that there are two paths to a decision, a reasoned path and a reactive path. For the reasoned path, intentions are the direct antecedent to behavior. In turn, intentions are a function of subjective norms and attitudes. Decisions using the reasoned path are deliberative and planned and characterize more mature decision makers. The reactive path was proposed to capture behavior that is not deliberative and is captured by the construct of willingness. Research has shown that willingness is able to explain unique variance when included in a model with behavioral intentions. For the reactive path, individuals are said to form images of the prototypical person who regularly performs the behavior. What dictates behavior from this process is the reaction that the individual has to this prototype. For instance, producing a prototype of a smoker, an individual can have a positive reaction to the prototype, increasing the probability that the individual will smoke, or a negative reaction to the prototype, decreasing the probability that the individual will smoke. (The theory also holds that a negative image can sometimes be viewed as a cost of engaging in the behavior.) Furthermore, individuals recognize that the more they do the behavior, the more they will come to be perceived as similar to the prototype.
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- Basis for Making the Decision
- Acceptability Curves and Confidence Ellipses
- Beneficence
- Bioethics
- Choice Theories
- Construction of Values
- Cost-Benefit Analysis
- Cost-Comparison Analysis
- Cost-Consequence Analysis
- Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
- Cost-Minimization Analysis
- Cost-Utility Analysis
- Decision Quality
- Distributive Justice
- Dominance
- Equity
- Evaluating Consequences
- Expected Utility Theory
- Expected Value of Perfect Information
- Extended Dominance
- Health Production Function
- League Tables for Incremental Cost-Effectivenes: Ratios
- Marginal or Incremental Analysis, Cost-Effectiveness Ratio
- Monetary Value
- Moral Choice and Public Policy
- Net Benefit Regression
- Net Monetary Benefit
- Nonexpected Utility Theories
- Pharmacoeconomics
- Protected Values
- Rank-Dependent Utility Theory
- Return on Investment
- Risk-Benefit Trade-Off
- Subjective Expected Utility Theory
- Toss-Ups and Close Calls
- Value-Based Insurance Design
- Welfare, Welfarism, and Extrawelfarism
- Biostatistics and Clinical Epidemiology
- Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA)
- Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
- Attributable Risk
- Basic Common Statistical Tests: Chi-Square Test, t Test, Nonparametric Test
- Bayes's Theorem
- Bayesian Analysis
- Bayesian Evidence Synthesis
- Bayesian Networks
- Bias
- Bias in Scientific Studies
- Brier Scores
- Calibration
- Case Control
- Causal Inference and Diagrams
- Causal Inference in Medical Decision Making
- Conditional Independence
- Conditional Probability
- Confidence Intervals
- Confounding and Effect Modulation
- Cox Proportional Hazards Regression
- Decision Rules
- Diagnostic Tests
- Discrimination
- Distributions: Overview
- Dynamic Treatment Regimens
- Effect Size
- Equivalence Testing
- Experimental Designs
- Factor Analysis and Principal Components Analysis
- Fixed Versus Random Effects
- Frequentist Approach
- Hazard Ratio
- Hypothesis Testing
- Index Test
- Intraclass Correlation Coefficient
- Likelihood Ratio
- Log-Rank Test
- Logic Regression
- Logistic Regression
- Maximum Likelihood Estimation Methods
- Measures of Central Tendency
- Measures of Frequency and Summary
- Measures of Variability
- Meta-Analysis and Literature Review
- Mixed and Indirect Comparisons
- Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA)
- Nomograms
- Number Needed to Treat
- Odds and Odds Ratio, Risk Ratio
- Ordinary Least Squares Regression
- Parametric Survival Analysis
- Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression
- Positivity Criterion and Cutoff Values
- Prediction Rules and Modeling
- Probability
- Propensity Scores
- Randomized Clinical Trials
- Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve
- Recurrent Events
- Recursive Partitioning
- Regression to the Mean
- Sample Size and Power
- Screening Programs
- Statistical Notations
- Statistical Testing: Overview
- Subjective Probability
- Subset Analysis: Insights and Pitfalls
- Survival Analysis
- Tables, Two-by-Two and Contingency
- Variance and Covariance
- Violations of Probability Theory
- Weighted Least Squares
- Decision Analysis and Related Mathematical Models
- Applied Decision Analysis
- Boolean Algebra and Nodes
- Decision Analyses, Common Errors Made in Conducting
- Decision Curve Analysis
- Decision Tree: Introduction
- Decision Trees, Advanced Techniques in Constructing
- Decision Trees, Construction
- Decision Trees, Evaluation
- Decision Trees, Evaluation With Monte Carlo
- Decision Trees: Sensitivity Analysis, Basic and Probabilistic
- Decision Trees: Sensitivity Analysis, Deterministic
- Declining Exponential Approximation of Life Expectancy
- Deterministic Analysis
- Discrete-Event Simulation
- Disease Management Simulation Modeling
- Expected Value of Sample Information, Net Benefit of Sampling
- Influence Diagrams
- Markov Models
- Markov Models, Applications to Medical Decision Making
- Markov Models, Cycles
- Markov Processes
- Reference Case
- Steady-State Models
- Stochastic Medical Informatics
- Subtrees, Use in Constructing Decision Trees
- Test-Treatment Threshold
- Time Horizon
- Tornado Diagram
- Tree Structure, Advanced Techniques
- Health Outcomes and Measurement
- Complications or Adverse Effects of Treatment
- Cost-Identification Analysis
- Costs, Direct Versus Indirect
- Costs, Fixed Versus Variable
- Costs, Opportunity
- Costs, Out-of-Pocket
- Costs, Semifixed Versus Semivariable
- Costs, Spillover
- Economics, Health Economics
- Efficacy Versus Effectiveness
- Efficient Frontier
- Health Outcomes Assessment
- Health Status Measurement Standards
- Health Status Measurement, Assessing Meaningful Change
- Health Status Measurement, Construct Validity
- Health Status Measurement, Face and Content Validity
- Health Status Measurement, Floor and Ceiling Effects
- Health Status Measurement, Generic Versus Condition-Specific Measures
- Health Status Measurement, Minimal Clinically Significant Differences, and Anchor Versus Distribution Methods
- Health Status Measurement, Reliability and Internal Consistency
- Health Status Measurement, Responsiveness and Sensitivity to Change
- Human Capital Approach
- Life Expectancy
- Morbidity
- Mortality
- Oncology Health-Related Quality of Life Assessment
- Outcomes Research
- Patient Satisfaction
- Regret
- Report Cards, Hospitals and Physicians
- Risk Adjustment of Outcomes
- SF-36 and SF-12 Health Surveys
- SF-6D
- Sickness Impact Profile
- Sunk Costs
- Impact or Weight or Utility of the Possible Outcomes
- Certainty Equivalent
- Chained Gamble
- Conjoint Analysis
- Contingent Valuation
- Cost Measurement Methods
- Decomposed Measurement
- Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs)
- Discounting
- Discrete Choice
- Disutility
- EuroQol (EQ-5D)
- Health Utilities Index Mark 2 and 3 (HUI2, HUI3)
- Healthy Years Equivalents
- Holistic Measurement
- Multi-Attribute Utility Theory
- Person Trade-Off
- Quality of Well-Being Scale
- Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs)
- Quality-Adjusted Time Without Symptoms or Toxicity (Q-TWiST)
- SMARTS and SMARTER
- Split Choice
- Utilities for Joint Health States
- Utility Assessment Techniques
- Willingness to Pay
- Other Techniques, Theories, and Tools
- Artificial Neural Networks
- Bayesian Networks
- Bioinformatics
- Chaos Theory
- Clinical Algorithms and Practice Guidelines
- Complexity
- Computer-Assisted Decision Making
- Constraint Theory
- Decision Board
- Decisional Conflict
- Error and Human Factors Analyses
- Ethnographic Methods
- Expert Systems
- Patient Decision Aids
- Qualitative Methods
- Story-Based Decision Making
- Support Vector Machines
- Team Dynamics and Group Decision Making
- Threshold Technique
- Perspective of the Decision Maker
- Advance Directives and End-of-Life Decision Making
- Consumer-Directed Health Plans
- Cultural Issues
- Data Quality
- Decision Making in Advanced Disease
- Decisions Faced by Hospital Ethics Committees
- Decisions Faced by Institutional Review Boards
- Decisions Faced by Nongovernment Payers of Healthcare: Managed Care
- Decisions Faced by Patients: Primary Care
- Decisions Faced by Surrogates or Proxies for the Patient, Durable Power of Attorney
- Diagnostic Process, Making a Diagnosis
- Differential Diagnosis
- Evaluating and Integrating Research Into Clinical Practice
- Evidence Synthesis
- Evidence-Based Medicine
- Expert Opinion
- Genetic Testing
- Government Perspective, General Healthcare
- Government Perspective, Informed Policy Choice
- Government Perspective, Public Health Issues
- Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act Privacy Rule
- Health Risk Management
- Informed Consent
- Informed Decision Making
- International Differences in Healthcare Systems
- Law and Court Decision Making
- Medicaid
- Medical Decisions and Ethics in the Military Context
- Medical Errors and Errors in Healthcare Delivery
- Medicare
- Models of Physician–Patient Relationship
- Patient Rights
- Physician Estimates of Prognosis
- Rationing
- Religious Factors
- Shared Decision Making
- Surrogate Decision Making
- Teaching Diagnostic Clinical Reasoning
- Technology Assessments
- Terminating Treatment, Physician Perspective
- Treatment Choices
- Trust in Healthcare
- The Psychology Underlying Decision Making
- Accountability
- Allais Paradox
- Associative Thinking
- Attention Limits
- Attraction Effect
- Automatic Thinking
- Axioms
- Biases in Human Prediction
- Bounded Rationality and Emotions
- Certainty Effect
- Cognitive Psychology and Processes
- Coincidence
- Computational Limitations
- Confirmation Bias
- Conflicts of Interest and Evidence-Based Clinical Medicine
- Conjunction Probability Error
- Context Effects
- Contextual Error
- Counterfactual Thinking
- Cues
- Decision Making and Affect
- Decision Modes
- Decision Psychology
- Decision Weights
- Decision-Making Competence, Aging and Mental Status
- Deliberation and Choice Processes
- Developmental Theories
- Dual-Process Theory
- Dynamic Decision Making
- Editing, Segregation of Prospects
- Emotion and Choice
- Errors in Clinical Reasoning
- Experience and Evaluations
- Fear
- Frequency Estimation
- Fuzzy-Trace Theory
- Gain/Loss Framing Effects
- Gambles
- Hedonic Prediction and Relativism
- Heuristics
- Human Cognitive Systems
- Information Integration Theory
- Intuition Versus Analysis
- Irrational Persistence in Belief
- Judgment
- Judgment Modes
- Learning and Memory in Medical Training
- Lens Model
- Lottery
- Managing Variability and Uncertainty
- Memory Reconstruction
- Mental Accounting
- Minerva-DM
- Mood Effects
- Moral Factors
- Motivation
- Numeracy
- Overinclusive Thinking
- Pain
- Pattern Recognition
- Personality, Choices
- Preference Reversals
- Probability Errors
- Probability, Verbal Expressions of
- Problem Solving
- Procedural Invariance and Its Violations
- Prospect Theory
- Range-Frequency Theory
- Risk Attitude
- Risk Aversion
- Risk Communication
- Risk Perception
- Scaling
- Social Factors
- Social Judgment Theory
- Stigma Susceptibility
- Support Theory
- Uncertainty in Medical Decisions
- Unreliability of Memory
- Value Functions in Domains of Gains and Losses
- Worldviews
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