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Global Warming

Global warming and climate variability occur as natural phenomena. The issue of governance relates to human-induced global warming as it is defined by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) as climate change either directly or indirectly attributable to humans changing the global atmosphere's composition separate from expected climate changeability in a comparable period. The term typically evokes the effects on the climate of human activities, particularly the burning of fossil fuels (coal, oil, and gas) and large-scale deforestation, which cause emissions to the atmosphere of large amounts of greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, perfluorocarbons, hydrofluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride). Such gases absorb infrared radiation emitted by the earth's surface and act as blankets over the surface, keeping it warmer than it would otherwise be. Global warming is often considered as the most important environmental problem the world faces and one of the major challenges for global governance and management.

Global Warming and the Science-Policy Interface

The global warming agenda has been pushed by a cooperative interaction between scientific inquiry and policy action. During the 1980s, intergovernmental and nongovernmental scientific organizations (such as the World Meteorological Organization and the International Council for Science) and international research initiatives (such as the World Climate Research Programme and the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme) played a crucial role in constructing a consistent scientific discourse for communicating the dimensions and consequences of global warming. In 1988, the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environmental Program established the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to assess the state of climate science as a basis for informed policy action. The IPCC marked the entering of global warming in the political arena.

The scientific consensus on the reality of global warming is clearly expressed in the assessment reports of the IPCC. This explicit consensus has been crucial for advancing the global agenda for combating global warming. The IPCC, thus, exemplifies the relevance of organizations accountable to both science and policy in the task of building governance arrangements in which scientific information is effectively used for making decisions. However, global warming also shows the limitations of the mythic notion that governance consists of logical thinking based on complete scientific information. The vast complexity and uncertainties of the regional consequences of anthropogenic climate change, as well as adaptation and mitigation, pose enormous difficulties to global warming governance. For instance, evidence of causal relationships between global warming and hurricane activity is still inconclusive. Nonetheless, the high stakes involved demand action even if just counting on questionable data subjected to alternative interpretations. In this context, the precautionary principle (i.e., minimizing future regret) is often invoked as a guiding principle for policy making. Governance arrangements at the national level will also play important roles for adaptation and coping.

Global Warming and Global Governance

Global warming was fully incorporated in the international policy agenda through the coming into force of the UNFCCC in 1994. The Kyoto Protocol, including legally binding measures, and the European Union Emissions Trading System entered into force in 2005 as important additions to the UNFCCC. The Kyoto Protocol marked an important shift in the governance arrangements for dealing with global warming. It overcame the usual soft approaches characterized by loose and largely undefined targets and introduced a regulatory framework under which countries get committed to implementing quantified targets (i.e., reducing emissions by around 5.2 percent below 1990 levels from 2008 to 2012).

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