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MAXIMUM SUSTAINABLE YIELD is a term population ecologists and economists use to define the theoretical top catch or yield of a species that can be taken indefinitely without depleting the population. The maximum sustainable yield is assumed to be half of the carrying capacity of a species. Commonly, the maximum sustainable yield is more than the optimum sustainable yield, which ends when yield is no longer economical.

Maximum sustainable yield is a long-term management approach, not a crisis recovery method. The European Union (EU), for instance, uses it for all stocks, not just those that are approaching unsus-tainability. According to the logistic model of growth, population in a new habitat, or one that is depleted will initially experience a slow growth rate, but will grow rapidly once it reaches a foothold level. Rapid growth will slow when the population nears the carrying capacity of the habitat. The goal of maximum sustainable yield is to raise or lower population to the level where the highest growth rate is most likely. The new population level should be capable of indefinite maintenance. Maximum sustainable yield is highly variable, depending heavily on weather-influenced factors. Global warming affects maximum sustainable yield by altering the weather.

Background

A sixth of the Earth's population depends on the sea for over a third of its animal protein (the world average is 16 percent). Fishing and processing employs 200 million people worldwide. The current annual catch is about 88 million U.S. tons, or 80 million metric tons. The total is down from 1989, the peak year with 86 million metric tons. The 1989 catch culminated a 50-year process in which the catch rose by a factor of four. However, the world total conceals the disparities in different parts of the world—the Indian Ocean catch continues to rise, while 13 of the 15 major areas have shown declines (the Atlantic cod catch is down by a factor of almost three since 1970.)

In November 1992, a collection of scientists warned that nature and humanity were on a collision course because of the damage human activity was doing to the environment and resources. They warned that unless change occurred, humanity risked creating a world incapable of sustaining life as we know it. They said that Earth had too many people. The scientists warned of atmospheric damage from ozone depletion, air pollution, and acid rain. They noted critical depletion of the water supply, putting world food production at risk. They cited soil depletion that degraded land and cut food production. They decried the loss of tropical rainforests. They also talked of the destruction of ocean life, particularly the world's supply of food fish. They noted that the world's farmers, industrialists and urbanités were sending pollutants into the oceans, that fishermen were taking more than the maximum sustainable yield, and some fisheries were showing signs of collapsing. They calculated that by 2100, upwards of one-third of all extant species might disappear. Among other steps to prevent the disaster, humanity needed to find alternatives to fossil fuels, become more efficient in using nonrenewable resources, and manage critical resources more effectively. The developed world had to help the undeveloped world to make these changes.

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