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THE HYDROLOGIC CYCLE (water cycle) is a global, Sun-driven process. On Earth, water travels in a cyclic process, transported from water bodies to the atmosphere, then to land, and subsequently, to water bodies in the hydrologie cycle. Water is evaporated by the Sun, incorporated into clouds as water vapor, falls to the land and water bodies as rain, and from land it goes back to the water bodies through several hydro-logic processes, such as runoff and infiltration. The hydrologie cycle is a closed system for Earth, as the amount of water remains fixed throughout, but it may vary with its distribution geographically, temporally, and seasonally. Six major components of the hydro-logic cycle are precipitation, infiltration, evaporation, transpiration, surface runoff, and groundwater flow. Evaporation and transpiration together are known as évapotranspiration. The volumes of different components of hydrologie cycle are: 110,000 km.3 of precipitation onto land and 458,000 km.3 of precipitation on the ocean surfaces, with 502,800 km.3 of evaporation from oceans and 65,200 km.3 of evaporation from land, of which 42,600 km.3 is of river runoff, and 2,200 km.3 is of underground runoff.

Increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases warmed the Earths surface by nearly 1 degree F (0.6 degrees C) during the 20th century. It may continue in this century, leading to a higher sea-surface temperature. One instinctive consequence of a warmer ocean surface is a larger vapor pressure difference between the sea surface and the adjacent atmosphere. Therefore, there would be an increased evaporation rate and subsequent increase in the other components of the hydrologie cycle. Computer simulation models found that a global warming by 7.2 degrees F (4 degrees C) is expected to increase global precipitation by about 10 percent, and that rainfall intensity will greater than at present. Scientists, through models, found that the upper tropospheric water vapor amount will increase by 15 percent with each degree of atmospheric temperature rise. The global water vapor amount will increase by 7 percent with each degree of atmospheric temperature rise.

Conversely, to make matters worse, water vapor acts as a prominent greenhouse gas. Increased water vapor alters the climate feedback loop. With a rise in surface temperature the water vapor amount in the atmosphere increases. The additional water vapor absorbs additional radiated energy which would normally escape from Earths surface to outer space, and it makes the Earths surface even warmer. This somber picture is further complicated by important interactions between water vapor, clouds, atmospheric motion, and radiation from both the Sun and the Earths surface.

Hydrological Cycle Intensification

Several studies have demonstrated that the hydrologie cycle has already intensified, with a distinct (measurable) amount due to an increases in earth surface temperature. The followings is some of the evidence:

Daily minimum nighttime temperatures have increased at twice the rate of daytime temperatures since 1950. Consequently, increased cloudiness and humidity at night as well as increased evaporative cooling during the daytime are encountered. That suggests that atmospheric water vapor amount has increased.

Radiosonde measurements from 1973–93, coupled with satellite data, suggest that there is a substantial increase in the level of water vapor in the atmosphere and the amount of precipitation in all regions of the Americas, except northern and eastern Canada.

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