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Multiple Criteria Decision Making/Aiding

Up against myriad urban problems, diverse social and economic issues, and a limited financial budget, it might seem not just difficult but almost impossible to create a balance and identify the projects that would bring about the greatest benefits to society. Yet, planners all around the world strive to achieve that balance and prioritize their investments into the best projects. It is this balancing act that can be aptly termed “multiple criteria decision making” (MCDM), because it involves making decisions based on multiple criteria. While MCDM could relate to any field or subject, in the context of transportation, it relates to how MCDM has been an effective tool in making public investment decisions such as project selection and prioritization.

In matters of public investment, budget constraints are always present, and it is vital to assess the contribution of a particular project to public welfare, as well as to choose a project with maximum welfare potential. However, there is a never a single decision maker behind project selection, and that decision is always made as a result of group discussions and compromises.

The decision-making process, in itself, is a significant factor in selecting a project, and recognition of this fact has led to the development of a framework of analysis for decision making where projects are analyzed against a set of criteria. This analysis framework can be called a decision-making support system (DSS). A DSS is usually a computer-based information system used to support decision-making activities in situations where is it not possible or desirable to have an automated system performing the entire decision process. A DSS also makes it easier to interpret multiple criteria, leading to faster and more efficient decision making. So, what are the different criteria and how are they assessed to make decisions?

Cost–Benefit Analysis

For a long time, cost–benefit analysis (CBA) has been the preferred tool to analyze the value of a project. The aim of using CBA is to be able to see if the benefits of a project are more than the costs involved, in which case a project can be called financially beneficial. CBA tries to monetize all benefits and costs of the project and finally arrives at a net present value (NPV) and an internal rate of return (IRR) upon which a project's financial feasibility is assessed. Initially used by private enterprises for private projects, CBA helps quantify the purely financial returns that a project is capable of delivering. Gradually, its use was extended to public projects, as well.

However, public bodies and public projects do not only have financial objectives to achieve. It is vital for the public projects also to attain maximum socioeconomic benefits. This means that certain parameters—such as time, safety, leisure, happiness, clean air, environmental preservation, and others—must also be measured. Unfortunately, these parameters cannot be computed in the CBA model because they do not carry financial value. To analyze projects with such demands, social cost benefit analysis (SCBA) was carried out, until it was realized that SCBA could not entirely handle the assessment of projects that have impacts without direct monetary valuation.

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