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Ashgabat Earthquake (1948)

Ashgabat (Ashkhabad) is the capital of Turkmenistan, which was part of the Soviet Union at the time of the incident. Ashgabat is situated near the border with Iran.

On October 5, 1948, an earthquake measuring 7.3 on the Richter scale destroyed much of Ashgabat, Turkmenistan. Reports indicate that up to 110,000 people were killed, making it one of the 10 deadliest recorded earthquakes. The earthquake occurred at night, which may have increased the death toll, with more people indoors at the time. The damage in Ashgabat was catastrophic. The city was virtually leveled, and most brick buildings collapsed completely. Severe damage was incurred on other concrete structures, railways, and utilities. The Darreh Gaz area of neighboring Iran was also damaged and suffered casualties. Ruptures in the Earth's surface were reported northwest and southeast of Ashgabat.

Initial death counts were 10,000, but on December 9, 1988, a revised number of 110,000 was released. However, in 2007, the State News Agency of Turkmenistan released a total number of 176,000. An unknown number of people were injured. Information on recovery efforts remains inconsistent. The earthquake, subsequent death toll, and damage were all minimized under the Stalinist regime, which likely negatively impacted response efforts both within the Soviet Union and internationally. Sources from present-day Turkmenistan indicate a robust response from within the Soviet Union; however, much of this seems unlikely, given the scope of the destruction and the geographic challenges of the region. Much of the infrastructure for travel was destroyed, and Ashgabat was situated at a considerable distance from other major cities in the Soviet Union. While there clearly was some level of response and a robust rebuilding effort, details remain largely unclear. There are no indications of an international response.

Since the earthquake, geological surveys of the area have been conducted to determine areas of greater risk. Most of Turkmenistan lies in an earthquake-prone region.

Today, October 5 is still marked as a national day of remembrance in Turkmenistan. The memorials mourn the loss of citizens (some consider them martyrs) and extol the virtues of those who survived and those who responded. A formal monument in the center of the city commemorates the tragedy.

KristinStevens New York University Langone Medical Center

Further Readings

Beer, T. and A.Ismail-Zadeh, eds. Risk Science and Sustainability, Science for Reduction of Risk and Sustainable Development of Society. Boston, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-0167-0
KingS. A., Vitaly I.Khalturin and B. E.Tucker, eds. Seismic Hazard and Building Vulnerability in Post-Soviet Central Asian Republic. Boston, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1999.
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