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Moffitt, Terrie E.: A Developmental Model of Life-Course-Persistent Offending

The relationship between age and crime presents a wonderful conundrum for criminologists. It is simultaneously one of the most accepted and yet least understood empirical realities of the field. The aggregate age distribution of crime is nearly universal. On average, criminal offending starts in pre-adolescence, increases rapidly during adolescence, peaks around age 17 (for most offenses), and then rapidly declines during the transition to young adulthood. Criminologists are in agreement on this point—and have been for quite some time.

There is considerable disagreement, however, as to what this aggregate age-crime curve represents. Specifically, do individual patterns of criminal offending mimic the aggregate curve? What conclusions about individual patterns of behavior can be reached based on the age-crime curve? One school of thought articulated and embodied by Travis Hirschi and Michael Gottfredson is that the age-crime curve is invariant. That is, it is essentially the same for all individuals. The counterposition is that the age-crime curve conceals heterogeneity of offending patterns, and that there is notable variation in the age-crime curve across individuals. This latter perspective is expressed by David Farrington, among others. This interpretation of the age-crime curve is also the cornerstone of Terrie E. Moffitt's developmental taxonomy of offending.

Theoretical Summary

Moffitt (1993) originally offered her account of antisocial behavior in order to address a persistent reality of criminal behavior: continuity and change. Lee Robins observed in 1978 that while “adult antisocial behavior virtually requires childhood antisocial behavior,” it is also true that “most antisocial delinquents do not become antisocial adults” (p. 611). The fundamental implication of this paradox is that criminal behavior is characterized both by stability over time (as in the case of persistent offending) and by marked change. This observation has sparked heated—and as yet unresolved—debates, particularly with respect to the age-crime curve. The core of the debate is the extent of homogeneity that exists among offenders and their involvement in crime over time.

Moffitt offers a theoretical proposition to enlighten the debate. She proposes that the age-crime curve comprises two qualitatively distinct types of offenders, each with their own etiological path into, and out of, delinquent and criminal behavior. Life-course-persistent offenders (LCPs) are characterized by an early onset of problem behavior and marked continuity across much of the life course. Adolescence-limited offenders (ALs) experiment with delinquency during the teen years, but their delinquency is a behavioral anomaly and they will return to prosocial behavior as they age out of adolescence. In detailing the two types of offenders, each with distinct routes to delinquency, Moffitt is able to account for both the continuity and discontinuity of criminal behavior.

Explaining Continuity

The notion that the age-crime curve conceals distinct groups of offenders with different patterns of behavior is not unique to Moffitt's theory. Marvin Wolfgang, Robert Figlio, and Thorsten Sellin were the first to observe that 6 percent of the subjects in a Philadelphia birth cohort were responsible for more than half of the offending among the cohort. The presence of a group of persistent and high-rate offenders was noted in other studies as well, and it serves as the basis for Moffitt's idea of the LCP offender.

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