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Demography is the study of human population. Demography may be defined narrowly as the “study of the size, territorial distribution, and composition of population, changes therein, and the components of such changes, which may be identified as natality, mortality, territorial movement (migration), and social mobility (change of status)” (Hauser and Duncan 1959: 31). A more inclusive definition of the field—sometimes referred to as population studies—emphasizes the interconnections between demographic phenomena, such as fertility, mortality, and migration, and broader social, economic, biological, and psychological forces. Demography is relevant to the study of crime both because population structure and change influence rates of criminal offending and because criminal behavior and aggregate crime rates affect demographic behavior and events.

Criminology and Demography

Criminology and demography share several epistemological and scientific characteristics. Social statisticians and theorists of the eighteenth century drew heavily on both criminological and demographic data. In the United States, the Chicago School of the early twentieth century focused primarily on the linkage between population dynamics and deviant behavior. Both criminology and demography have also emphasized geographical variations and aggregate trends and have grounded their studies within a life-course perspective. From a methodological standpoint, both fields have traditionally favored quantitative over qualitative approaches.

The fields of criminology and demography also intersect in more substantive ways. Individual demographic characteristics and aggregate population processes are central to many theoretical perspectives and empirical models of criminal behavior. At the same time, criminal involvement has been shown to have important consequences for the demography of the life course and macro-level population processes.

Individual Demographic Characteristics and Crime

The primary demographic characteristics of age, sex, and race are among the most powerful individual-level risk factors for criminal offending and victimization. Evidence indicates that young people, males, and members of disadvantaged minorities are at comparatively high risk of becoming offenders and victims, at least with respect to the common street crimes. Although the general patterns pertaining to these demographic characteristics and crime are well established, controversies about their interpretation persist.

Age

One noteworthy debate surrounds the relationship between age and crime. Criminologists generally agree that criminal offending increases during adolescence and peaks in early adulthood, declining thereafter as people get older. Some have argued that this pattern is universal or invariant. In other words, the general shape of the age-crime relationship is regarded as the same across social status (e.g., gender and race) and across geographical location (e.g., nations). Proponents of the thesis of “age invariance” conclude that the widely observed “desistance” from crime as people age reflects nothing more than the biological aging of the human organism.

Critics of “age invariance,” however, have raised several objections. They observe that the age-crime relationship varies for different offenses. They also claim that this relationship has changed over time. In addition, various scholars have claimed that no single age profile adequately describes the offender population; different types of offenders can be identified based on distinctive trajectories of offending.

Another important debate related to age involves the persistence of antisocial behavior over the life span. A well-established finding is that misbehavior in childhood is a powerful predictor of adult deviance and criminality. Two influential interpretations of this relationship have been advanced. One, the latent trait perspective, maintains that the propensity to commit crime is developed at a young age and that this propensity remains reasonably stable throughout life. Continuity in antisocial behavior reflects the stable differences in criminal propensities across individuals.

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