Futures Markets

One hallmark of a free market system is risk. Most producers (as well as consumers) face the risk that prices of goods (or commodities) they produce will change between the time they invest their resources to produce the goods and the time they are ready to sell their output. While in some cases long-term supply contracts at prearranged prices can be made, most prices, especially those of financial assets, commodities, and raw materials, are subject to almost constant fluctuations. Futures markets reduce the uncertainty and risk associated with these fluctuations by allowing market participants to enter into contracts, called futures contracts, which fix the price of a specified [Page 731]asset at a future date. Futures contracts help the real-market participants by facilitating hedging and help investors by making speculation easier.

A futures contract is an agreement between two traders to exchange an asset at a predetermined future date (called the delivery date) at the “futures price.” In the case of futures markets, the “asset” has been standardized as to the quantity, quality, the delivery point, and the date of delivery. The trade may take place at a “futures exchange” or “over-the-counter” (OTC)—a service provided by many financial institutions. OTC market allows large transactions to take place at lower cost and without the risk of moving the market price. Almost all transactions now take place over the phone or electronically, replacing the close physical contact that used to characterize trading on exchanges.

A futures contract differs from a “spot” contract mainly in terms of the date of execution of the contract: A spot contract is executed immediately after the contract is made whereas a futures contract is executed at a prearranged future date. A futures contract differs from a “forward” contract in that the futures contract is for a standardized asset whereas the asset in a forward contract can be tailor-made.

The oldest futures exchange in the United States, the Chicago Board of Trade was established in 1848. Futures contracts in tulips, however, were traded in Holland in the 17th century. Commodities, raw materials, and financial assets including interest rates and currencies form the bulk of the assets traded on the futures markets. There are, however, futures contracts for many exotic assets like weather. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange offers futures contracts on snowfall, “cooling” or “heating” degree days in the United States, Canada, Europe, or Asia-Pacific, and even a future contracts on hurricanes.

Futures markets facilitate the process of “price discovery” by providing information on current and possible future prices as assessed by market participants based on available information. This process is facilitated because futures markets provide improved liquidity and reduce counterparty risk for buyers and sellers of contracts over alternative arenas where comparable contracts could be traded. Improved liquidity comes from standardization of contracts, which makes trading easier for speculators. Since all the characteristics of an asset have been standardized, a speculator can focus on the single element of the assets that is of interest to him/her—the price. Futures markets reduce the risk for traders by a practice called mark-to-market.

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