Summary
Contents
Subject index
Since its first edition in 1980, Change and Continuity has been known for offering the best analysis and explanation of voting behavior in the most recent election and setting those results in the context of larger trends and patterns in elections studies. This top-notch author team meticulously and accessibly explains the National Election Studies data and analyzes its importance and impact. Known for its current scholarship and excellent use and display of data, the text covers the most recent presidential and Congressional elections, voter turnout, and the social forces, party loyalties, and prominent issues that affect voting behavior. The 2016 and 2018 Edition will include new material on the congressional elections 2018 and an updated conclusion reflecting on what those results mean for the future of American politics.
The Election Results
The Election Results
In the closing days of the bitter campaign, it appeared that Hillary Clinton held an electoral advantage. Analysis of early voting patterns in several swing states suggested that Clinton’s ground game advantage was paying dividends—registered Democrats were turning out at higher rates than registered Republicans.1 Donald Trump, who had been calling the election “rigged” in the weeks leading to election day, responded to reports of early voting trends with additional skepticism: “Do you think these ballots are properly counted,” Trump asked supporters in Colorado; “do you think?”2 The polls also suggested a Clinton victory was on the horizon. The average (mean) of ten national public opinion polls conducted during the final week of the campaign showed Clinton with 46.8 ...
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