This critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems examines such questions as: Will the cycles of boom and bust, peace and war of the past 500 years continue? Or have either long-term trends or recent changes so profoundly altered the structure of world systems that these cycles will end or take on a less destructive form? The noted international contributors to this volume examine the question of future dominance of the core global systems and include comprehensive discussions of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, Japan and the former Soviet Union.

Beyond Cycles of Hegemony: Economic, Social and Military Factors

Beyond cycles of hegemony: Economic, social and military factors
Walter L.Goldfrank

As we survey the changing world on the eve of the twenty-first century, scholars confront empirical puzzles and interpretive uncertainties. Those of us who identify with world-wide social and political movements seeking more democracy, more equality, more justice, and more rationality find ourselves at once free and daunted. We are free, finally, from the albatross of repressive party-states calling themselves ‘socialist’, from the illusion that social democratic welfare states are trending toward perfection, from the myth that national development in the Third World is closing the gap. And we are daunted by the double task of (1) reconstructing a strategy of global transformation and (2) making a ...

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