This critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems examines such questions as: Will the cycles of boom and bust, peace and war of the past 500 years continue? Or have either long-term trends or recent changes so profoundly altered the structure of world systems that these cycles will end or take on a less destructive form? The noted international contributors to this volume examine the question of future dominance of the core global systems and include comprehensive discussions of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, Japan and the former Soviet Union.
Chapter 3: The Next World War: World-System Cycles and Trends
The Next World War: World-System Cycles and Trends
The continuing globalization of the world capitalist system and the apparent triumph of global liberalism following the collapse or restructuring of the communist states have led many observers to conclude that a fundamentally new era has begun in which economic rather than military competition will become the sole basis of geopolitics (e.g. Fukuyama, 1992). While assorted regional blood-baths (as in the Persian Gulf, the Balkans, Somalia, Rwanda, and Chechenya) will, of course, continue to occur, unrivalled US military dominance, the strengthening of international institutions, and the continuing consolidation of a unified world capitalist class are all seen as promoting peace and stability within the core of the world-system. ...