This critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems examines such questions as: Will the cycles of boom and bust, peace and war of the past 500 years continue? Or have either long-term trends or recent changes so profoundly altered the structure of world systems that these cycles will end or take on a less destructive form? The noted international contributors to this volume examine the question of future dominance of the core global systems and include comprehensive discussions of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, Japan and the former Soviet Union.

From Leadership to Organization: The Evolution of Global Politics

From leadership to organization: The evolution of global politics
GeorgeModelski

The rise and decline of global powers have in recent years drawn considerable attention among students of world politics and society. Work has focused on two questions: why do some states rise to a unique position of global leadership while others fail? And why is it that those powers that have risen so successfully do ultimately also tend to decline?

We propose that these two questions can now be answered parsimoniously within the framework of the theory of long cycles of global politics, and the first part of the chapter clarifies and amplifies such an answer. But the rise and decline of world powers are not all there is to ...

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