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Chapter 29: Will Threats Work against Pakistan?
Will Threats Work against Pakistan?
After the cross-border strike allegedly carried out by Pakistan against the Indian Army camp at Uri in September 2016, the Indian government carried out a retaliatory ‘surgical strike’ across the line of control. But while the strike scored an immediate point, what should be the overall strategy to deter Pakistan? Using a game-theoretic understanding of threats, it is concluded here that threats are unlikely to change the behaviour of the Pakistani side.52
[Page 127]In the wake of India's surgical strikes following the Uri attack, there was talk of possible retaliation even as Pakistan rubbished India's claims and made its own declarations of victory. The stock market took a dive in anticipation of further pyrotechnics.
Unfortunately, strikes like ...