This is the very first book to distill the principles of complex adaptive systems and adaptive management into practical guidance for policymakers. It describes the concept of adaptive policymaking and presents seven tools for developing such policies. Based on hundreds of interviews with people impacted by policy and research of over a dozen policy case studies, this book serves as a pragmatic guide for policymakers by elaborating on these seven tools. It is an invaluable information resource for technical policymakers and politicians, as well as for those studying politics and international relations.
Chapter 3: Integrated and Forward-Looking Analysis
Integrated and Forward-Looking Analysis
What is integrated and forward-looking analysis? By identifying key factors that affect policy performance and identifying scenarios for how these factors might evolve in the future, policies can be made robust to a range of anticipated conditions, and indicators can be developed to help trigger important policy adjustments when needed.
Why is Integrated and Forward-Looking Analysis Important for Creating Adaptive Policies?
To illustrate the importance of integrated and forward-looking analysis, consider a long-standing, regulated tariff for transporting grain from the Canadian Prairies to ports for export. The regulated tariff was known as the Crow Rate and was implemented by the Canadian government from 1897 through 1995. It initially supported railway expansion in western Canada at the turn of ...