Fully revised and reorganized by Anna Getmansky and Alejandro Quiroz Flores to fit the exciting new edition of Bruce Bueno de Mesquita's Principles of International Politics, this accompanying workbook continues to feature class-tested, user-friendly exercises that walk students through the building blocks of the strategic method, ensuring that even novice students have the opportunity to develop and hone their problem-solving skills and can successfully apply what they have learned in the text. The fifth edition of Applying the Strategic Perspective: Problems and Models, Workbook introduces students to a wide range of problems so that they master basic principles as well as test their capabilities with more challenging material. Easy for students to use, and with perforated pages for turning in assignments, the workbook also comes ...
Chapter 6: Domestic Theories of War
Domestic Theories of War
Exercise 6-1. Threatening Country B
In Principles, we observed how A's probability of attack depends on a threshold for p, the probability that A will win if A attacks B. In Principles, we also investigated how the probability of actually threatening country B depends on a threshold for X, the value of the status quo for country A. More specifically, if A believes that B will counter and A is prepared to fight rather than back down, then A threatens B, provided that its policy status quo, X, meets the following condition: X < (1 + Ψ) p + Ψ (m – 1) – ka.
Recall that Ψ measures the cost to a leader if she loses office. Ψ then ...