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Predictive Validity

Predictive validity refers to the degree to which scores on a test or assessment are related to performance on a criterion or gold standard assessment that is administered at some point in the future. Predictive validity is often considered in conjunction with concurrent validity in establishing the criterion-based validity of a test or measure. Although concurrent validity refers to the association between a measure and a criterion assessment when both were collected at the same time, predictive validity is concerned with the prediction of subsequent performance or outcomes. Educators, researchers, and practitioners are often interested in how well a test or assessment will forecast an individual’s future performance in a particular domain; therefore, predictive validity is an important aspect for demonstrating the technical adequacy and ...

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